Luzern
0 - 3
Basel

Cumic (21'), Muller (60'), Schulz (75'), Jasari (78')
Schulz (78')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Frei (49' pen., 90+7'), Males (85')
Palacios (31'), Katterbach (52'), Pelmard (66'), Burger (76'), Frei (90+5')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Basel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 51.04%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
Luzern	Draw	Basel
26.75%	22.22%	51.04%

Both teams to score 62.94%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.18%

36.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.01%

58.99%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77%

26.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.67%

61.33%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.32%

14.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.15%

42.85%

Score Analysis

Luzern 26.75%

Basel 51.04%

Draw 22.22%

Luzern	Draw	Basel
2-1 @ 6.62% 1-0 @ 5.15% 2-0 @ 3.45% 3-1 @ 2.95% 3-2 @ 2.83% 3-0 @ 1.54% 4-1 @ 0.99% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.27% Total : 26.75%	1-1 @ 9.89% 2-2 @ 6.35% 0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.22%	1-2 @ 9.49% 0-1 @ 7.39% 0-2 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 6.07% 0-3 @ 4.53% 2-3 @ 4.06% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.27% Total : 51.04%