SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Basel had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.46%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
29.19% ( 0.06) | 22.87% ( 0.01) | 47.93% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 62.58% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.85% ( 0.01) | 38.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.58% ( 0.01) | 60.41% ( -0.01) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.73% ( 0.04) | 25.26% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.97% ( 0.06) | 60.02% ( -0.06) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.74% ( -0.02) | 16.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.22% ( -0.03) | 45.77% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 10.26% 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 9.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.89% 1-4 @ 2.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.77% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 3.6% Total : 47.93% |
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