SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lausanne Sport win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Basel had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lausanne Sport win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lausanne Sport would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Basel |
39.66% ( 0.01) | 23.38% | 36.95% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.8% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.17% ( -0) | 37.83% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.92% | 60.08% ( -0) |
| Lausanne Sport Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0) | 19.48% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.65% ( 0.01) | 51.35% ( -0.01) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.23% ( -0) | 20.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.6% ( -0.01) | 53.4% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lausanne Sport | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.51% 1-0 @ 6.62% 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.65% 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.21% Other @ 3.3% Total : 39.66% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 6.69% 0-0 @ 4.05% 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.38% | 1-2 @ 8.18% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.36% 0-2 @ 5% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.68% 2-4 @ 1.38% 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.95% |
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