Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Servette had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Servette win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
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