Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.