Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.3%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.