Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for St Gallen in this match.