Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Lausanne Sport had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Lausanne Sport win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.