Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 54.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sion had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Sion win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
