Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Sion had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Sion win was 0-1 (8.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
