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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 14
Nov 21, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
Cornaredo Stadium
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Lugano
3 - 1
Luzern

Ziegler (4'), El Amine Amoura (35'), Maric (45+2' pen.)
Sabbatini (67')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sorgic (10')
Muller (4'), N'Diaye (57'), Schulz (75')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Luzern win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawLuzern
37.75%26.06%36.19%
Both teams to score 54.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55%50.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62%72.38%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94%26.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89%61.11%
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05%26.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71%62.29%
Score Analysis
    Lugano 37.75%
    Luzern 36.19%
    Draw 26.06%
LuganoDrawLuzern
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 8.33%
2-0 @ 6.35%
3-1 @ 3.73%
3-0 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.45%
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.75%
1-1 @ 12.38%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.12%
0-2 @ 6.04%
1-3 @ 3.55%
0-3 @ 2.64%
2-3 @ 2.39%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 36.19%

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