Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.48%. A win for Sion had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.48%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-0 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.