Lugano
2 - 3
Luzern

Covilo (10'), Bottani (65')
Covilo (2'), Kecskes (45+1'), Bottani (72'), Lovric (77'), Daprela (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Schulz (45+2' pen.), Tasar (81', 89')
Emini (14'), Burch (76'), Ugrinic (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Luzern.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Luzern
36.79%	26.23%	36.98%

Both teams to score 53.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.83%

51.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.98%

73.01%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.05%

26.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.72%

62.28%

Luzern Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.16%

26.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.86%

62.13%

Score Analysis

Lugano 36.79%

Luzern 36.98%

Draw 26.23%

Lugano	Draw	Luzern
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 6.22% 3-1 @ 3.58% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.09% Total : 36.79%	1-1 @ 12.47% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23%	0-1 @ 9.51% 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.74% 2-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.18% 0-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.98%