Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.
