Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 47.3%. A win for Luzern had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Luzern win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
