Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Servette had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.93%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
