Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 34.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
