Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.