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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 32
May 1, 2021 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
SG

Basel
1 - 0
St Gallen

Arthur (68')
Frei (45+3'), Arthur (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and St Gallen.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawSt Gallen
43.63%22.31%34.06%
Both teams to score 67.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.98%33.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.26%54.74%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.14%15.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.93%45.06%
St Gallen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.99%20.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.79%52.21%
Score Analysis
    Basel 43.63%
    St Gallen 34.06%
    Draw 22.31%
BaselDrawSt Gallen
2-1 @ 8.66%
1-0 @ 5.84%
2-0 @ 5.38%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-2 @ 4.28%
3-0 @ 3.3%
4-1 @ 2.45%
4-2 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-3 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 43.63%
1-1 @ 9.4%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.17%
3-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.31%
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 5.11%
0-2 @ 4.11%
1-3 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.2%
1-4 @ 1.63%
2-4 @ 1.5%
3-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 34.06%

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