Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.84%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
