SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Sion had a probability of 37.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.1%) and 0-2 (5.53%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sion | Draw | Basel |
37.5% ( 0.17) | 23.9% ( -0.19) | 38.6% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.83% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.6% ( 0.95) | 40.4% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.22% ( 0.96) | 62.77% ( -0.97) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.5) | 21.64% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( 0.77) | 54.76% ( -0.77) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.9% ( 0.42) | 21.09% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( 0.66) | 53.92% ( -0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sion | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.25% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.09)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.5% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.56% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.36% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 38.6% |
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