SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 52.42%. A win for Sion had a probability of 24.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Sion win was 2-1 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Basel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sion | Draw | Basel |
24.76% ( 0.09) | 22.83% ( 0.06) | 52.42% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.7% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.49% ( -0.2) | 41.51% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.09% ( -0.2) | 63.91% ( 0.2) |
| Sion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.03) | 30.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.63% ( -0.04) | 66.37% ( 0.04) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.11% ( -0.13) | 15.89% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.88% ( -0.23) | 45.12% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sion | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 24.76% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 8.12% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.56% Total : 52.42% |
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