SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
| 29.06% | 26.03% | 44.92% |
| Both teams to score 51.82% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% | 52.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% | 73.93% |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% | 32.54% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.93% | 69.07% |
| Servette Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.82% | 23.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.94% | 57.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Servette |
| 1-0 @ 8.47% 2-1 @ 6.95% 2-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 2.6% 3-2 @ 1.9% 3-0 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.06% | 1-1 @ 12.37% 0-0 @ 7.54% 2-2 @ 5.08% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 11.02% 1-2 @ 9.05% 0-2 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 4.41% 0-3 @ 3.93% 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.44% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.01% Total : 44.91% |
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