Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Servette win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Servette win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.05%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
