Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 17.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-0 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
