SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 55.15%. A win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 23.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.61%) and 0-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Gallen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | St Gallen |
23.5% ( 0.12) | 21.35% ( 0.04) | 55.15% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 62.48% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.13% ( -0.04) | 35.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.05% ( -0.05) | 57.95% ( 0.05) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.86% ( 0.07) | 28.14% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.18% ( 0.09) | 63.82% ( -0.09) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.94% ( -0.06) | 13.06% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.36% ( -0.12) | 39.64% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 23.5% | 1-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.76% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 9.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.02)0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.15% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.02% Total : 55.15% |
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