SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 25.19% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
25.19% ( -0.38) | 22.71% ( 0.04) | 52.1% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 59.57% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( -0.54) | 40.56% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( -0.56) | 62.94% ( 0.56) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.64% ( -0.58) | 29.36% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.65% ( -0.71) | 65.34% ( 0.72) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.34% ( -0.08) | 15.66% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.3% ( -0.14) | 44.7% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.25% Total : 25.19% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.7% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 3.68% Total : 52.1% |
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