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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Winterthur win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Basel had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Winterthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.35%). The likeliest Basel win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Basel |
38.34% ( 0.1) | 23.65% ( -0.01) | 38.01% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 62.85% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.91% ( 0.06) | 39.09% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.58% ( 0.06) | 61.41% ( -0.06) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.35% ( 0.07) | 20.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.78% ( 0.11) | 53.21% ( -0.11) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.19% ( -0.02) | 20.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.53% ( -0.03) | 53.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Basel |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 38.34% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.64% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.45% 0-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.88% Total : 38.01% |
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