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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 51.55%. A win for Basel had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.66%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Young Boys |
25.8% ( 0.08) | 22.65% ( 0.01) | 51.55% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 60.46% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% ( 0.04) | 39.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( 0.04) | 62.04% ( -0.04) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.08) | 28.42% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.82% ( 0.11) | 64.18% ( -0.11) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -0.01) | 15.53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.54% ( -0.03) | 44.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.52% Total : 25.8% | 1-1 @ 10.34% 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.75% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.78% Total : 51.55% |
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