SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 55.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 22.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.37%) and 0-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Lugano win it was 2-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
22.16% ( 0.02) | 22.37% ( 0) | 55.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% | 42.24% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0) | 64.64% ( -0) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( 0.01) | 32.82% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% ( 0.01) | 69.39% ( -0.02) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( -0.01) | 15.11% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% ( -0.01) | 43.67% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 5.82% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.53% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.16% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 9.87% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.86% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.22% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.58% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.94% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.64% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.64% 1-5 @ 1.11% 0-5 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 2.81% Total : 55.47% |
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