SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 36.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (5.82%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
38.52% ( 0.14) | 24.51% ( 0) | 36.97% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.54% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.64% ( -0.02) | 43.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.25% ( -0.01) | 65.75% ( 0.02) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.57% ( 0.07) | 22.44% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.03% ( 0.1) | 55.97% ( -0.1) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.08) | 23.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.85% ( -0.12) | 57.15% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Luzern | Draw | FC Zurich |
| 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 11.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 36.97% |
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