SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 19.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 2-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Young Boys |
19.78% ( -2.34) | 21.47% ( -0.59) | 58.74% ( 2.94) |
| Both teams to score 56.41% ( -1.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.42) | 41.32% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.43) | 63.72% ( 0.43) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.41% ( -2.47) | 34.58% ( 2.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.69% ( -2.72) | 71.3% ( 2.72) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.23% ( 0.78) | 13.76% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.94% ( 1.53) | 41.06% ( -1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.33)3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.32)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.25)3-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.02% Total : 19.78% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.33)0-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.47% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 9.44% ( 0.44)0-2 @ 9.36% ( 0.68)1-3 @ 6.57% ( 0.23)0-3 @ 6.19% ( 0.61)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 3.26% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 3.07% ( 0.38)2-4 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.29% ( 0.11)0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.18)Other @ 3.2% Total : 58.74% |
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