SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 70.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for St Gallen had a probability of 13.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.24%), while for a St Gallen win it was 1-2 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Young Boys | Draw | St Gallen |
70.01% ( -0.07) | 16.56% ( -0.01) | 13.43% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.11% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.06% ( 0.26) | 29.93% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.89% ( 0.31) | 51.11% ( -0.31) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.31% ( 0.05) | 7.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.6% ( 0.13) | 27.39% ( -0.13) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( 0.29) | 34.89% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.37% ( 0.3) | 71.63% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Young Boys | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.08% Total : 70.01% | 1-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 16.56% | 1-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 13.43% |
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