SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for St Gallen had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.82%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest St Gallen win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Zurich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Zurich | Draw | St Gallen |
41.95% ( -0.23) | 22.48% ( -0.02) | 35.57% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 67.08% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.52% ( 0.14) | 33.48% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.73% ( 0.16) | 55.27% ( -0.16) |
| FC Zurich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -0.03) | 16.69% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.42% ( -0.06) | 46.58% ( 0.06) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.52% ( 0.18) | 19.48% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.66% ( 0.3) | 51.34% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Zurich | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.09% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.86% 4-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.95% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.47% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.57% |
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