SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Gallen win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Gallen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
30.08% ( 0.99) | 22.64% ( 0.34) | 47.28% ( -1.34) |
| Both teams to score 64.05% ( -0.59) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.52% ( -1.06) | 36.47% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.38% ( -1.17) | 58.61% ( 1.16) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( 0.08) | 23.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.92% ( 0.11) | 58.07% ( -0.12) |
| St Gallen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.14% ( -0.87) | 15.86% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.94% ( -1.62) | 45.06% ( 1.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | St Gallen |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 3.41% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.14% 3-0 @ 1.85% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.65% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.15)1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.17)2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.13)1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.83% Total : 47.28% |
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