Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 14.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a CF Os Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
-0.06) 
0.01) 
