SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
44.56% ( -0.37) | 26.07% ( 0.13) | 29.38% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 51.88% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.76% ( -0.44) | 52.24% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.06% ( -0.38) | 73.94% ( 0.38) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.65% ( -0.36) | 23.35% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.68% ( -0.53) | 57.32% ( 0.53) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( -0.06) | 32.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.19% ( -0.06) | 68.81% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Casa Pia | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.55% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.38% |
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