With Estoril Praia having survived the relegation battle there is very little for them to fight for in this particular match, and that is why the hosts should secure a comfortable win in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
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