Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a UD Oliveirense win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
-0.01) 
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