SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
35.45% ( 0.22) | 27.58% ( 0.06) | 36.97% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.31% ( -0.23) | 56.69% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( -0.19) | 77.65% ( 0.18) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.57% ( 0.03) | 30.43% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.36% ( 0.03) | 66.63% ( -0.03) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.51% ( -0.29) | 29.49% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.5% ( -0.35) | 65.5% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.88% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.44% | 1-1 @ 13.03% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.58% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.96% |
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