Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Academico de Viseu had a probability of 11.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.69%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for an Academico de Viseu win it was 1-0 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
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