SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 8.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 0-3 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Mafra win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Mafra | Draw | Porto |
| 8.74% | 15.89% | 75.37% |
| Both teams to score 44.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.14% | 40.86% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.75% | 63.25% |
| Mafra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.3% | 50.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 14.86% | 85.14% |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.8% | 9.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 68.86% | 31.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mafra | Draw | Porto |
| 1-0 @ 3.17% 2-1 @ 2.57% 2-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 1.93% Total : 8.74% | 1-1 @ 7.56% 0-0 @ 4.66% 2-2 @ 3.06% Other @ 0.61% Total : 15.89% | 0-2 @ 13.27% 0-1 @ 11.12% 0-3 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.02% 1-3 @ 7.17% 0-4 @ 6.3% 1-4 @ 4.28% 0-5 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 2.04% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-6 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.5% Total : 75.36% |
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