Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 79.01%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Canelas 2010 had a probability of 8.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.65%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.87%), while for a Canelas 2010 win it was 2-1 (2.46%).
-0.38) 
0.82) 
