Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 35.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Chaves |
35.81% ( 0.1) | 27.62% ( -0.04) | 36.57% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 48.97% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.2% ( 0.15) | 56.8% ( -0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.27% ( 0.12) | 77.73% ( -0.11) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.75% ( 0.14) | 30.26% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.58% ( 0.16) | 66.43% ( -0.16) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.21% ( 0.03) | 29.79% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.14% ( 0.04) | 65.86% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 35.81% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.9% 0-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 36.57% |
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