SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
46.59% ( -0.1) | 24.83% ( 0.02) | 28.58% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 55.34% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.5% ( -0.07) | 47.5% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.29% ( -0.06) | 69.71% ( 0.06) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.07) | 20.45% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( -0.12) | 52.9% ( 0.11) |
| Estrela Amadora Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.56% ( 0.02) | 30.44% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.35% ( 0.03) | 66.65% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chaves | Draw | Estrela Amadora |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.59% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.83% | 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 28.58% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
