Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varzim win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varzim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varzim in this match.
-0.24) 
0.08) 
