Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.75%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Varzim had a probability of 8.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.97%) and 0-3 (11.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a Varzim win it was 1-0 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
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