SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.01%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
68.39% ( -0.18) | 20.11% ( 0.07) | 11.5% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41.47% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.81% ( -0.01) | 51.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.97% ( -0.01) | 73.03% ( 0.01) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( -0.06) | 13.97% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( -0.12) | 41.47% ( 0.11) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.21% ( 0.2) | 51.79% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.13% ( 0.13) | 85.87% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 14.01% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.05% 4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 68.38% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.24% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.47% Total : 20.11% | 0-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 11.5% |
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