SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 56.56%. A win for Ukraine Under-21s had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-3 (6.85%). The likeliest Ukraine Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ukraine Under-21s | Draw | Croatia Under-21s |
23.06% ( -15.23) | 20.38% ( -0.19) | 56.56% ( 15.42) |
| Both teams to score 65.57% ( -9.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.39% ( -8.43) | 31.61% ( 8.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.89% ( -10.6) | 53.1% ( 10.61) |
| Ukraine Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.9% ( -12.36) | 26.1% ( 12.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( -20.15) | 61.17% ( 20.15) |
| Croatia Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( 1.49) | 11.27% ( -1.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.12% ( 3.15) | 35.88% ( -3.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ukraine Under-21s | Draw | Croatia Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.79% ( -1.32) 1-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -2.01)2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.8)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -2.11)3-0 @ 1.19% ( -1.1)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -1.45)Other @ 3.1% Total : 23.06% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( 1.46) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -1)0-0 @ 2.94% ( 1.19)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -1.26)Other @ 0.43% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 2.04) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 3.29)1-3 @ 6.85% ( 1.79)0-1 @ 6.42% ( 2.81)0-3 @ 5.1% ( 2.55)2-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.42)1-4 @ 3.74% ( 1.13)0-4 @ 2.78% ( 1.47)2-4 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 1.63% ( 0.56)0-5 @ 1.22% ( 0.67)3-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.59)2-5 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.06% Total : 56.56% |
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