Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inhulets win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Dnipro-1 had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inhulets win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.