SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livyi Bereh | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
20.31% ( -0.18) | 21.77% ( 0.11) | 57.91% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.28% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.08% ( -0.76) | 41.91% ( 0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.68% ( -0.77) | 64.31% ( 0.76) |
| Livyi Bereh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.61) | 34.39% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.9% ( -0.66) | 71.1% ( 0.65) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.23) | 14.21% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.05% ( -0.45) | 41.95% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livyi Bereh | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 2.79% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.07% Total : 20.31% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.89% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.16)1-3 @ 6.46% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 6.05% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 3.15% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.95% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 57.91% |
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