SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 59.39%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Polissya Zhytomyr had a probability of 17.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.31%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Polissya Zhytomyr win it was 1-0 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
17.7% ( -0.32) | 22.91% ( -0.07) | 59.39% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 48.06% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( -0.19) | 50.58% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( -0.16) | 72.5% ( 0.17) |
| Polissya Zhytomyr Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.69% ( -0.5) | 42.31% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.3% ( -0.43) | 78.7% ( 0.43) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( 0.07) | 16.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.43% ( 0.13) | 46.57% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Polissya Zhytomyr | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 1-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.8% Total : 17.7% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.79% Total : 22.91% | 0-1 @ 12.64% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 11.31% ( 0.14)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.75% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.81% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.87% Total : 59.38% |
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