SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Zagreb would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
49.16% ( -0.44) | 20.85% ( -0.01) | 29.98% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 70.87% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.42% ( 0.35) | 27.58% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.78% ( 0.44) | 48.22% ( -0.44) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% ( -0) | 11.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.6% ( -0) | 37.39% ( 0) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.51% ( 0.42) | 19.49% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.64% ( 0.68) | 51.36% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04)4-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.82% Total : 49.16% | 1-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.68% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 6.62% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 3.82% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.57% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.98% |
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