SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Zagreb win with a probability of 49.79%. A win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Zagreb win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.12%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
49.79% ( 1.06) | 21.37% ( 0.28) | 28.83% ( -1.35) |
| Both teams to score 67.96% ( -2.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.01% ( -2.33) | 30.99% ( 2.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.62% ( -2.82) | 52.38% ( 2.82) |
| Dinamo Zagreb Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.99% ( -0.51) | 13.01% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.46% ( -1.05) | 39.53% ( 1.05) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( -1.94) | 21.87% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( -3.04) | 55.11% ( 3.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Zagreb | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.53)1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.62)3-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.29)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.16)4-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.16)5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.31% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.17)0-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 2.36% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.52% Total : 21.37% | 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.32% ( 0.31)2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.3)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.2)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.17)Other @ 3.39% Total : 28.83% |
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